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Old 18-12-2007, 02:33 PM   #31 (permalink)
Tropo
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The drama is - are company earnings down significantly due to any changes? Are P/Es at highs that are similar to bull market reversals? Granted there are some casualties (CNP), and probably will be more, but they dont exactly make up a significant portion of our market do they? On the other hand people may have had these arguments just before every bear market
Well....I can not comment on fundamentals at all.
I am a TA person, so my main concern is who is in charge bulls or bears.
You may consider few social indicators below which I found in cyber space.

- Involvement of the general public in speculating.
- Rising number of prospectuses for companies involved in software development, search for rare materials such as platinum or involved in bio-technology.
- Increasing stockbroking firms, particularly those created by banks or insurance companies who see broking as an easy source of money.
- A growth in the number of economic commentators who say the boom will last forever.
- A high level of new magazines and so called fool proof trading system dealing with the stockmarket.
- Low level of short-sold positions – kind of contrary indicator since the crowd is wrong most of the time.
- Easy credit for speculation.
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Old 08-01-2008, 12:02 PM   #32 (permalink)
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Yep....Any bounce back up from now may be another bull trap.
It seems that DOW is on the move down to 11991 (possibly 11250) and XJO may hit 5730/34 (possibly 5360).
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Old 08-01-2008, 12:36 PM   #33 (permalink)
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Is the clever money on shorting stocks at the moment then?

(I'm not as clever.. and will be saving the next house deposit via ing direct)
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Old 08-01-2008, 01:00 PM   #34 (permalink)
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Is the clever money on shorting stocks at the moment then?

(I'm not as clever.. and will be saving the next house deposit via ing direct)

I think so. That is what I would do.
In the coming months you can make more money on the short side than on the long side (IMHO).


PS - "....and will be saving the next house deposit ..."

It may well be a good idea.
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Old 18-01-2008, 08:13 AM   #35 (permalink)
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Wow. another 300 point drop....

nearly at the lowest point in 12 months.... so another bad day for the asx...
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Old 18-01-2008, 09:22 AM   #36 (permalink)
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Wow. another 300 point drop....

nearly at the lowest point in 12 months.... so another bad day for the asx...
Few more to come...
Do not leave your home without helmet and umbrella.
Enjoy the ride....
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Old 18-01-2008, 08:04 PM   #37 (permalink)
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It seems that DOW is on the move down to 11991 (possibly 11250) and XJO may hit 5730/34 (possibly 5360).
Tropo , thats spooky - as I look at Marketmaker right now at 9pm - its at 5730/5734 and 21 points down in "pre-trading".

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Old 19-01-2008, 03:00 AM   #38 (permalink)
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Tropo , thats spooky - as I look at Marketmaker right now at 9pm - its at 5730/5734 and 21 points down in "pre-trading".

Haven't you seen "The Truman Show"?

We are all living in a virtual world, "The Tropo Show".
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Just guarantee me 20% pa, and I'll stop asking stupid questions...
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